The Business of AI Startups

Artificial Intelligence and Innovation and Economic Growth

Article Snapshot

Author(s)

James Bessen, Stephen Michael Impink, Lydia Reichensperger and Rob Seamans

Source

Boston University School of Law Research Paper No. 18-28, 2018

Summary

This survey of artificial intelligence (AI) startups shows that new AI systems tend to augment human capabilities rather than to displace human workers. AI systems may create professional, sales, marketing, and management jobs.

Policy Relevance

Policymakers should ensure that social systems can help workers transition to new roles.

Main Points

  • Many studies predict that AI systems will cause substantial job losses; one study predicts that 47 percent of jobs in the United States are likely to be automated within ten years.
     
  • If this prediction is accurate, a survey of AI startups today would reveal many technologies in development likely to displace human workers.
     
  • This study reports the results of a detailed survey of commercial AI startups of different sizes across several industries and nations; the AI systems offered by these startups tend to enhance human capabilities rather than to replace humans.
     
    • About half of the startups strongly agreed that reducing labor costs would benefit their customers.
       
    • A little more than half agreed that their product would automate routine tasks.
       
    • AI products were most likely to replace workers in agriculture, manufacturing, utilities, and transportation.
       
  • Many startups report that their customers were using AI to create jobs about as often as they were using it to eliminate jobs.
     
    • Most jobs created were in professional, management, marketing, or sales roles.
       
    • Most jobs lost were in service, clerical, and manual jobs.
       
  • This survey suggests that mass unemployment or displacement of professional workers is unlikely; however, AI will cause a shift in work from some roles to others.
     
  • Jobs created by AI systems will require many workers to invest in acquiring significant new skills and endure difficult transitions.
     
  • Policymakers should consider whether current labor market policies will effectively address the disruption caused by changing demand for occupations and skills.
     

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