ACADEMIC ARTICLE SUMMARY

Automation and the Workforce: A Firm-Level View from the 2019 Annual Business Survey

Article Source: NBER Working Paper No. 30659, 2022
Publication Date:
Time to Read: 2 minute read
Written By:

Cathy Buffington

Cathy Buffington

David N. Beede

David N. Beede

Emin Dinlersoz

Emin Dinlersoz

Eric E. Childress

Eric E. Childress

Gary W. Anderson

Gary W. Anderson

John C. Haltiwanger

John C. Haltiwanger

Lucia S. Foster

Lucia S. Foster

Nathan Goldschlag

Nathan Goldschlag

Nikolas Zolas

Nikolas Zolas

 Pascual Restrepo

Pascual Restrepo

Zachary Kroff

Zachary Kroff

ARTICLE SUMMARY

Summary:

A survey of thousands of firms helps economists understand the spread of advanced technologies such as robotics. Advanced technologies are often used for automation, and generally improves productivity.

POLICY RELEVANCE

Policy Relevance:

Advanced technologies may increase demand for high-skilled workers, but not for low-skilled workers.

KEY TAKEAWAYS

Key Takeaways:
  • The 2019 Annual Business Survey collected data from more than 300,000 United States companies to discover how firms were using artificial intelligence (AI), dedicated equipment, specialized software, robots, and cloud computing.
     
  • Between 2016 and 2018, adoption of advanced technologies varied widely across different sectors and is generally low, especially for robotics and artificial intelligence.
     
    • Only 3.2 percent of firms used AI, and 2 percent used robotics.
       
    • About half of U.S.-based firms did not use any advanced technologies, mainly because of high costs.
       
  • Large firms and new firms are most likely to use advanced technologies.
     
    • Use of advanced technologies by large firms exposes many workers to advanced technologies.
       
    • About 13 percent of workers have been exposed to AI, and about 16 percent to robotics.
       
  • About 55 percent of AI-using firms and 65 percent of robotics-using firms use advanced technology to support automation.
     
    • Overall, about 30 percent of workers are at firms where advanced technology supports automation.
       
    • In manufacturing, about 52 percent of workers are at such firms.
       
  • Firms that adopt advanced technologies to support automation have about 11.4 percent higher labor productivity; this difference in labor productivity accounts for about a third of the difference in productivity between large firms and small firms.
     
  • Firms report that advanced technologies increase demand for skilled workers, but effects on the firm’s overall employment levels were unclear.
     
    • The labor share of these firms tended to be lower.
       
    • When advanced technologies do not involve automation and do not displace human workers, they increase sales and employment.
       
    • Automation technologies do not increase opportunities for low-skilled workers.
       

QUOTE

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Daron Acemoglu

About Daron Acemoglu

In 2019, Professor Acemoglu received MIT’s highest faculty honor by being named Institute Professor. Professor Acemoglu is a leading thinker on the labor market implications of artificial intelligence, robotics, automation, and new technologies. His innovative work challenges the way people think about how these technologies intersect with the world of work.